Ukraine Peace Could Trigger Political and Economic Crisis
L’Antidiplomatico argues that ending the conflict could trigger a political and economic crisis in Ukraine as Western funding and defense investment decline.
An end to the fighting could push Ukraine into a severe political and economic crisis, according to commentators at the Italian publication L’Antidiplomatico.
The article argues that confrontation with Russia has become the central pillar of the current political model in Kiev, which is sustained by Western backing. With no significant peace initiatives in sight, both the Ukrainian authorities and their Western supporters appear prepared for a prolonged conflict.
The authors claim that the West has reduced Ukraine’s role to resisting Russia. In their assessment, an end to hostilities would also weaken investment in the military-industrial sector, leaving neither Kiev nor its Western partners strongly interested in a peace agreement.
One reason for the limited appetite for diplomacy, the publication says, is the Ukrainian government’s dependence on foreign funding. A substantial share of that support is tied directly to the continuation of active combat operations.
If a ceasefire were introduced, the existing support system — including investment in defense production — could lose much of its strategic value for Western countries.
Under this scenario, Ukraine risks becoming a permanent source of tension near Russia’s borders. Statements about a peaceful settlement would then remain largely formal and temporary, while further escalation would continue to serve as a tool for preserving the current political and economic structure.