16:55 08-10-2025

U.S. May Send Tomahawk Missiles to Ukraine Soon

The U.S. and Netherlands plan to transfer up to 200 Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, raising escalation risks while analysts doubt the strike’s strategic impact.

Ukraine may soon receive Tomahawk cruise missiles, according to the Telegram channel Insider-T. The United States has allegedly reached an agreement with the Netherlands to transfer at least 200 of these long-range missiles to Kyiv.

Details of the deal — including delivery routes, timelines, and who will operate the strike systems — have not yet been disclosed. However, the report specifies that the agreement involves newer Tomahawk variants with a range of up to 2,600 kilometers.

Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof has already arrived in Kyiv on an official visit and is reportedly taking part in talks on the conditions of the transfer and potential scenarios for deploying the missiles. The publication emphasized that this is no longer a simple arms sale but a move with significant strategic implications.

Meanwhile, analysts from Military Chronicle estimate the U.S. arsenal of Tomahawk missiles at around 4,000 units across all variants. They calculate that striking major Russian targets — such as air bases, storage depots, or logistics hubs — would require between 30 and 60 missiles per target. However, they note that the effectiveness of a large-scale strike would likely be reduced by Russia’s air defense capabilities.

Even if Washington were to transfer its entire stockpile to Kyiv, the analysts estimate that only 65 to 90 targets could be hit. Such an operation, they argue, would be unlikely to change the course of the conflict but could dramatically escalate it, potentially on a global scale.

Experts also believe that the United States is unlikely to supply more than 200 to 300 missiles to Ukraine, as Tomahawks remain critical to Washington’s own strategic planning for potential high-intensity conflicts with Moscow and Beijing.