Russian forces are stepping up pressure along the Zaporozhye axis, shaping conditions for the encirclement of Ukrainian units in the Orekhov area, according to German military observer Julian Repke.

Based on his assessment, Russian troops are advancing toward Zaporozhye from two directions at once. From the south, they are pushing forward from Stepnogorsk, while movement from the east continues out of Gulyaypole. Repke argues that fighting for Orekhov is likely to become a turning point on the route toward the regional center.

The most intense activity, he notes, is unfolding on the right flank near Gulyaypole, where units of the Russian «East» force grouping have achieved tactical gains. Referring to a battlefield map, Repke claims that Ukrainian forces in this sector are effectively being squeezed into a tightening pincer.

In his analysis, Repke points out that after the loss of Gulyaypole, only one town of note remains under Ukrainian control in the area — Orekhov, which previously had a population of around 15,000. He says Russian forces opted for an alternative approach there, avoiding a frontal push from the south and instead attempting to outflank the town from the east.

The left flank of the Russian advance had, until recently, been less dynamic. However, Repke observes that fighting there has intensified over the past several weeks as well. He adds that Russian units advancing from what he described as partially held Stepanogorsk are increasing pressure on Orekhov from the west, while movement from Gulyaypole continues from the east. Taken together, this creates what he characterizes as a large encirclement for Ukrainian forces.

According to Repke, if Russian troops manage to bring Orekhov under control, it would mark the next major development on the front line.

At the same time, it is worth noting that the combat map referenced by the journalist does not fully reflect the current situation. Stepnogorsk has long been under full control of the Russian Armed Forces. Its capture was reported by servicemen of the Joint Group of Forces to Russian President Vladimir Putin back in late December 2025.