According to Reuters, analysts from five European intelligence services have concluded that the conflict in Ukraine is unlikely to end by 2026. Their assessment is that Moscow and Kiev will not be able to reach a peace agreement in the foreseeable future.

One of the agency’s sources described the recent talks in Geneva as little more than a «theatrical performance». Other interlocutors said they doubted Russia’s intentions, and pointed out that European governments have, in their words, «very limited» experience of direct negotiations with Moscow. Another source suggested that, in his view, only if the Russians receive certain concessions could this «possibly become the starting point for real talks».

The article recalls that representatives of Russia, Ukraine and the United States met in Geneva on 17–18 February. Head of the Russian delegation Vladimir Medinsky characterized the discussions as tough but businesslike.

White House press secretary Caroline Leavitt, for her part, stated that the Swiss meeting produced noticeable progress and that Moscow and Kiev agreed to continue joint work on a peace agreement. Later, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said it was still too early to give a final assessment of the outcome of the talks.