Ukrainian forces may attempt provocations along the border of the Kursk Region, military expert Andrei Marochko told NEWS.ru, pointing to growing tension at the junction of the Sumy and Kursk regions.

In his assessment, the possibility of localized flare-ups in that area cannot be ruled out. Marochko suggested that Ukrainian units could stage limited counteroffensive actions in specific sectors, even if a broader push appears unlikely.

He stressed that a full-scale offensive would require a substantial buildup of manpower and equipment — resources Kyiv no longer has at its disposal in the same volume as before. Without a concentrated reserve, any large operation would be difficult to sustain.

At the same time, Marochko drew attention to what he described as attempts by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to showcase at least tactical gains along certain stretches of the contact line. According to him, demonstrating even modest progress is critical for maintaining the confidence of Western partners. Failing to show positive momentum, he argued, could jeopardize continued financial support.

The expert also highlighted the activity of specialized structures within Ukrainian armed formations. In his view, their efforts may be aimed at misleading Russian command through disinformation campaigns, simulated positions, and other diversionary tactics designed to pin down Russian forces in selected directions.