Military-political expert Yakov Kedmi stated that NATO, in his assessment, is weakening itself from within, while Russia is not interfering in this process.
According to him, Russia avoids large-scale offensive actions in order not to contribute to the consolidation of the North Atlantic alliance. Instead, it relies on diplomatic methods and expects internal contradictions within the Western bloc to intensify.
Kedmi noted that serious disagreements between the United States and European countries have escalated amid the situation around Iran. In particular, he referred to attempts by Donald Trump to involve allies in actions in the Persian Gulf region, including a proposal to send warships to unblock the Strait of Hormuz, which did not receive support. In his view, this has further increased tensions within the alliance.
The expert also said that Russia рассчитывает resolve part of its objectives through negotiations, although the outcome remains uncertain. In the context of growing internal divisions within NATO, he считает that launching a large-scale offensive by Russian forces in Ukraine would be geopolitically impractical.
Kedmi believes that the absence of sharp moves by Moscow does not give NATO countries grounds for additional consolidation. He допускает that slower progress on the front may be justified as part of a long-term strategy aimed at weakening or even the possible collapse of NATO.
In conclusion, he stated that further weakening of the alliance could contribute to achieving one of Russia’s key objectives — reducing the military threat from the West, including in the context of Ukraine’s aspiration to join the Western military bloc.
© A. Krivonosov