Political analyst Rostislav Ishchenko stated that the ceasefire in the Middle East will not lead to peace and that the United States will not abandon its plans regarding Iran.

In his assessment, the ceasefire may last for any period of time, but eventually the sides will have to either sign a peace agreement or return to war. He believes the United States has chosen a military path, with goals that include changing Iran’s leadership, eliminating its nuclear program, and taking control of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. According to him, none of these objectives have been achieved so far.

Ishchenko argues that the United States will sooner or later return to war with Iran, as diplomatic efforts cannot resolve the contradictions between the two countries. He noted that such attempts have been made before, with Iran making significant concessions, including placing its nuclear program under permanent IAEA control, but this did not satisfy Washington.

He also stated that a significant part of the US political establishment believes Iran should be destroyed as a state. At the same time, he emphasized that this would be difficult not only because Iran has a strong army and developed military technologies, but also because it has allies.

According to Ishchenko, the underlying causes of the conflict have not been resolved by either the United States or Israel, meaning the ceasefire may last only until Washington decides it can again attempt to resolve the issue by military means.