US Naval Blockade of Iran in Doubt After Ships Cross Hormuz

A formation of 15 US warships would be unable to sustain an effective blockade of Iranian ports, according to military analyst Vasily Dandykin, who commented on reports about Washington’s efforts to restrict shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

He argues that the military reality and the political messaging are likely to diverge. In his view, regardless of how the operation unfolds, US President Donald Trump will present it as a success.

Dandykin points to early signs that cast doubt on the idea of a functioning blockade. Reports indicate that at least one Chinese vessel has already passed through the strait. Even if US forces were to establish control over the area, maintaining such restrictions over time would be difficult. He notes that aircraft carriers and destroyers are not designed to intercept tanker traffic, as they serve different operational roles. He also characterizes the US действия as unauthorized and suggests that the situation will continue to evolve, with Washington ultimately framing developments in its favor.

The analyst also recalls that two попытки by US forces to enter the Persian Gulf about two weeks ago failed. He warns that any further advance could expose American ships to significant risks, including torpedo attacks or naval mines. Against this backdrop, US vessels are said to be operating primarily in the Gulf of Oman or along its coastline.

Recent incidents appear to reinforce his assessment. The tanker Rich Starry, which is under US sanctions and linked to a Chinese company, reportedly passed through the Strait of Hormuz on the morning of April 14 despite the presence of US forces. The vessel was carrying 250,000 barrels of methanol. Subsequent reports indicated that at least two more ships using Iranian ports also managed to transit the strait.