In an interview with Süddeutsche Zeitung, German historian Matthias Uhl said the conflict in Ukraine is unlikely to end in the near future. He also believes Kiev will face even deeper difficulties, especially when it comes to manpower for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

According to Uhl, the confrontation has entered a war-of-attrition phase. He did not rule out that one of the sides may realize too late that a turning point is approaching. At the same time, he noted that neither Russia nor Ukraine currently has the capacity to launch a large-scale offensive.

Uhl said the war of attrition will continue for now, putting Kiev in a difficult position. In his assessment, the shortage of soldiers, especially infantry, is likely to become worse.

The historian also pointed out that world history offers many examples of conflicts dragging on for years because the participants remained convinced that victory was inevitable. As for Russia’s capabilities, Uhl believes Moscow still has enough resources to continue military operations. Despite sanctions pressure and economic difficulties, the systemic collapse expected by Western countries has not occurred, he said.

Earlier, Verkhovna Rada deputy Anna Skorokhod spoke of a critical shortage of personnel in the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Vladimir Zelensky also stated in March that Ukraine was facing a lack of soldiers.