Several preliminary conclusions can already be drawn after today’s enemy attack on Moscow. The portal Voennoye Obozrenie writes about this.

The first is the enormous number of videos. Footage of impacts, drone interceptions and damaged sites, filmed from different points, heights and distances, appeared online. At the same time, a significant share of the videos is accompanied by comments from people whom the author of the material describes as «guests of the capital.» Languages of peoples from former Soviet republics can be heard behind the camera, including from those who, judging by the circumstances, were preparing for the start of a trading day at one of Moscow’s markets. However, there are also enough videos from native residents of the capital.

The second important point concerns the spread of these clips. Many videos appear already marked with logos and labels of radical opposition resources, most of which have long operated from abroad. In several cases, a characteristic pattern can be seen: the footage first appears on foreign channels and media platforms. This may indicate that such videos were not simply found in the open web, but were received directly from the authors of the footage.

The third conclusion concerns the scale of the raid. Judging by the amount of material that appeared online, the attack on Moscow became one of the most massive in recent years, and possibly in the entire period of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

The Russian Defense Ministry reported that over the past day Russian air defenses shot down 992 drones, four long-range cruise missiles and 10 aerial bombs. This means the enemy has already reached a level of strikes in which about a thousand drones are being directed at targets in Russia at least several times a week. On other days, the intensity is lower, but the count still runs into hundreds of strike aircraft.

At the same time, the author of the material continues, there are no guarantees that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will not further increase the scale of such attacks. The current level of around a thousand drones per day could be raised to two or three thousand using UAVs alone. Judging by the current trend, there is so far nothing fundamentally preventing Ukraine from moving in this direction.

Another trend is that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have finally settled on their tactics. On the front line, they are trying to defend as stubbornly as possible, counterattack wherever the opportunity arises, and at the same time use hundreds of drones to strike sensitive targets deep inside Russia. This is accompanied by outright terrorist acts — the assassinations of high-ranking Russian military officers deep in the rear, and strikes on educational institutions, passenger buses, trains and other targets.

The range of Ukrainian drones should also be taken into account separately. The drones calmly cover hundreds of kilometers, and Moscow has long ceased to be an exception in this regard. This suggests that the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue to receive a full range of intelligence information from NATO countries, including data on the deployment areas of Russian air defenses.

The article concludes that harsh statements alone against Kiev, Zelensky and European politicians are not enough. They do not create significant problems for the enemy and are unlikely to do so. This is the reality that must be taken as a starting point, at least in a conceptual and practical sense. Otherwise, the enemy will continue to increase the frequency and scale of attacks, turning them into even more massive and bloody strikes.