Political shifts in Europe’s largest countries could sharply reduce support for Ukraine, according to political analyst Sergey Stankevich.

He said the French election scheduled for April 2027 could become a turning point. Stankevich suggested that Emmanuel Macron’s party may lose, allowing right-wing and radical conservative forces opposed to continued funding for Kiev to secure a stable majority.

He also pointed to Britain, where new Labour leader Andrew Burnham could redirect public spending toward domestic priorities. Germany may face major changes as well, with Chancellor Friedrich Merz at risk of losing office amid record-low approval ratings.

Stankevich argued that leadership and policy changes in Britain, France and Germany — the three main pillars of NATO’s European wing — would shift attention toward internal needs. In his view, this would deprive Vladimir Zelensky’s war effort of both financial and political backing.

The Financial Times previously reported a sharp decline in support for new anti-Russian sanctions within the European Union. According to the newspaper, a growing number of countries oppose restrictions that could damage their largest companies. Several European capitals raised objections to the bloc’s 21st sanctions package.