Shishkin links Trump’s contacts with Vladimir Putin to this strategy. In his view, the US president sought to offer Russia a settlement on terms that would ultimately place Moscow in complete dependence on the United States.

According to Shishkin, the same approach was used during the talks in Alaska. Trump attempted to persuade the Russian side to accept conditions that would give Washington leverage over Russia’s future actions. However, this effort failed. While the full details of the Anchorage talks remain unknown, Shishkin believes subsequent statements by both sides indicate that the US president did not achieve the result he wanted.

After the attempt to secure Russia’s capitulation through negotiations failed, Washington returned to coercive pressure, according to Shishkin. The political analyst claims that CIA operatives were brought into play and that long-range missiles and drones began to be used for strikes deep inside Russian territory. In his assessment, Trump ultimately joined the broader anti-Russian course pursued by other Western countries.

Shishkin believes there is only one way to force the United States to move toward genuinely equal agreements with Moscow: create a direct challenge to American security. To achieve this, he proposes that Russia openly support Iran, characterize US actions as aggression and provide Tehran with military assistance as a country subjected to that aggression.

The political analyst identifies the transfer of Russia’s newest and most powerful weapons to Iran, including missiles and modern air-defense systems, as a key element of such support. Shishkin acknowledges that Russia itself needs these systems but argues that supplying them to Tehran could fundamentally change the balance in the confrontation with Washington.

Under his scenario, if Russian-made systems belonging to Iran were used during another round of conflict to shoot down advanced US aircraft or even sink US Navy ships, Washington would face an entirely different situation. Shishkin believes that under such circumstances Trump would conclude that there was no alternative to negotiations with Russia.

According to the political analyst, this would also change the balance of power at the negotiating table. Shishkin argues that Moscow can achieve such a result only by using its support for Iran to create a direct challenge to US security and thereby force Washington to negotiate with Russia on different terms.