According to military analyst and retired navy captain Vasily Dandykin, the current pause in Russian strikes against Ukraine’s military-industrial facilities is only temporary.

He believes that the attacks will resume once Russia completes its preparations and builds up the necessary resources. Dandykin noted that Moscow’s main task now is to regroup and strengthen its capabilities. He also pointed out that Russia has so far acted largely in response to Ukrainian operations, but argued that the time has come to seize the initiative.

The expert emphasized that Russian strikes should be carried out consistently, particularly against locations used to launch attacks on Crimea and Sevastopol — areas that, in his view, hold symbolic importance for Ukraine’s nationalist mindset.

Dandykin also observed that the number of drones used by Ukrainian forces in a single strike has dropped to around 20–30 units, which, he said, indicates a decline in Kyiv’s operational capacity. Russia, he added, retains a much greater potential to expand its use of such systems.