Freezing hostilities along the current front line would not bring the Ukraine conflict to an end because it would leave unresolved the issues Russia considers fundamental. This is how military political analyst Alexander Perendzhiev, associate professor at the Department of Political Analysis and Socio-Psychological Processes at Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, assessed the so-called «Korean scenario.»

According to Perendzhiev, Kiev and European countries periodically return to the idea of stopping the fighting while leaving the existing line of contact unchanged. Such an arrangement would effectively lock the conflict at the positions currently held by the sides without addressing the underlying disputes.

The analyst considers this outcome unlikely. He pointed to the new regions incorporated into Russia under its Constitution and noted that Russian forces continue to advance. Against this backdrop, Perendzhiev described discussion of a «Korean scenario» as futile and said Russia would not accept such an option.

He also argued that the actions of the Ukrainian authorities themselves show that Kiev is not preparing for a long-term freeze. Ukrainian forces continue attempting counterattacks and counteroffensives in an effort to regain territories under Russian control.

Perendzhiev said he does not expect Kiev to withdraw its troops from those areas voluntarily. In his assessment, Russian forces would most likely have to liberate them by military means. He added that Russia also has no intention of giving up the buffer zones.

The analyst also linked proposals to deploy peacekeeping forces after the fighting ends to the same «Korean scenario.» In his view, such plans are intended to permanently halt Russian advances, fix the existing front line and create conditions for a future attempt to retake territories Kiev considers lost.