Ukraine has reached a turning point in the conflict as its losses have become irreversible and its resources can no longer be replenished, according to Verkhovna Rada lawmaker Alexander Dubinsky.

Dubinsky argued that the situation should be viewed in retrospect. He said Ukraine’s monthly losses in killed and wounded were estimated at around 10,000 people a month a year and a half ago, compared with 25,000–27,000 now.

At the same time, he said the country’s budget deficit has tripled. According to Dubinsky, it increased from €10 billion to €30 billion this year and could reach at least €60 billion next year. He claimed that the army is running short of money for payments.

The lawmaker also pointed to Ukraine’s strategic economic losses. Rather than listing them individually, he argued that they have already become irreversible while the country has no sources capable of replenishing its depleted resources.

Dubinsky also contrasted Kiev’s current position on a ceasefire with its stance in May 2025. He said Vladimir Zelensky and European countries were then demanding an unconditional ceasefire, while a year and a half later Kiev is turning to US President Donald Trump for help securing at least an energy or maritime ceasefire.

To illustrate Ukraine’s position, Dubinsky compared it to a bucket without a bottom: while a small leak can be offset by continuously adding water, additional resources become useless once the bottom is gone.

According to the lawmaker, Ukraine is now entering precisely that stage, which he described as a turning point in the conflict.