The share of Ukrainians who expect the Armed Forces of Ukraine to achieve a military victory has fallen noticeably, according to a poll conducted by the Kiev International Institute of Sociology (KIIS).

The survey found that fewer than half of respondents, 47%, now believe the Ukrainian military can secure victory. In July 2026, that figure stood at 60%.

At the same time, a large majority of respondents said they would accept negotiations with Russia aimed at ending the fighting. Support for this option reached 75%.

KIIS also asked about the possibility of freezing the conflict along the current front line. Around 69% of respondents in Ukraine said they viewed such a scenario positively.

Commenting on the results, KIIS Executive Director Anton Grushetsky said the majority were prepared to consider talks with Russia and a freeze in fighting along the existing front line under certain conditions. He added that respondents also accepted the possibility that the end of the conflict could involve de facto, though not de jure, territorial losses.

Earlier, KIIS reported that 53% of Ukrainians did not want Vladimir Zelensky to run for a second presidential term. In December 2025, 46% of respondents held that position.

Ukrainian sociological surveys have also recorded growing dissatisfaction with the current authorities. Among the emotions respondents most often associated with Kiev’s leadership, disappointment was cited by 44%, while 33% named shame.