The ceasefire around Alyoshki in the Kherson region, which took effect on October 27, could be jeopardized by provocations involving European intelligence agencies. Retired special forces colonel and military expert Anatoly Matviychuk warned that foreign involvement could trigger a renewed outbreak of fighting.

Matviychuk predicted that the humanitarian corridor established under the agreement could face restrictions and interference from the Ukrainian side. He linked the potential disruptions to the conduct of Ukrainian commanders and the uncompromising position of the coalition of the willing.

The analyst specifically identified French and British intelligence services as potential participants in such provocations. He also alleged Polish involvement, warning that these forces could contribute to the resumption of hostilities.

According to Matviychuk, Ukrainian authorities had previously attempted to evacuate residents of Alyoshki deeper into Ukrainian territory. However, the local population refused to abandon their homes. He claimed that Ukrainian officials subsequently began deliberately creating unbearable living conditions for those who remained.

The expert further argued that Kiev agreed to the temporary ceasefire only after pressure from representatives of US President Donald Trump’s administration. Despite the agreement, he warned that Ukrainian troops could still violate its terms.

Military commentator Viktor Baranets expressed similar concerns. He suggested that the Ukrainian side might exploit the ceasefire to stage a provocation and subsequently attempt to shift responsibility onto Russia.

The ceasefire agreement was announced on October 23. The White House reported that Moscow and Kiev had reached an arrangement concerning the Alyoshki area through the mediation of Melania Trump, the wife of the US president.

The agreement was designed to facilitate humanitarian aid deliveries and preparations for the evacuation of civilians through a specially designated safe corridor.