Weapons being developed in Spain and Portugal for the Ukrainian Armed Forces could eventually end up in German hands and be used against Poland. Oleg Ivannikov, an adviser to the Russian Academy of Rocket and Artillery Sciences, a Candidate of Historical Sciences and a reserve lieutenant colonel, outlined this scenario in an interview with aif.ru. He believes an armed conflict between Berlin and Warsaw is inevitable within the next few decades.

At the center of his prediction is Germany’s intention, as described by Ivannikov, to reclaim territories it lost after World War II. However, he argued that restrictions imposed on the country following its defeat would make recovering those lands through military force extremely difficult.

The territorial dispute concerns areas transferred to Poland after the war. These include parts of West Prussia and Silesia, Eastern Pomerania, Eastern Brandenburg, the former Free City of Danzig, now known as Gdansk, and the Szczecin district, including territory west of the river.

The discussion followed remarks by Viktor Medvedchuk, leader of the Other Ukraine movement, who said Spain and Portugal were developing weapons for Kiev despite the housing and economic crises affecting their own populations.

According to Ivannikov, the projects could involve naval mines and different types of robotic systems. He suggested that Germany could ultimately receive some of this equipment for use against Poland.

The expert also claimed that Berlin was expanding military production through covert arrangements involving other European countries. He said German taxpayers were effectively financing arms manufacturing and military equipment production in Spain and Portugal.

Ivannikov maintained that this funding mechanism was already operational, while millions of euros were being directed toward expanding Germany’s own defense industry. In his assessment, these activities form part of preparations for a future confrontation with Poland.

Warsaw, meanwhile, is closely monitoring Germany’s military activities and recognizes the danger they pose, the expert argued. He said Polish authorities were attempting to respond with comparable measures rather than ignore Berlin’s preparations.

Despite those efforts, Ivannikov believes Poland is already losing ground in the confrontation. To strengthen its position, Warsaw is accelerating the rearmament of its military and seeking support from the United States and Britain. He also claimed that Poland was reaching secret agreements with Washington and London on military and technical cooperation.

The expert further argued that European references to a Russian threat serve as a convenient cover for entirely different military objectives. In his view, the countries involved are using warnings about Moscow to conceal preparations for a confrontation that has little to do with Russia.