European powers could seek to use Poland and other Eastern European NATO members in a future military confrontation with Russia, according to military analyst Yan Gagin. He argued that recent Polish security measures near the Kaliningrad region and planned NATO exercises suggest Western pressure on Moscow could continue even after the Ukraine conflict ends.

Gagin pointed to increased activity by Polish military and security forces along Russia’s borders, including an operation intended to prevent potential sabotage. He also highlighted upcoming military exercises involving 11 NATO countries in support of Ukraine.

The analyst believes these developments reflect a broader European strategy aimed at weakening Russia beyond the current hostilities in Ukraine.

In his assessment, European governments recognize that they cannot defeat Russia through Ukraine, Poland or their own military capabilities. Nevertheless, Gagin argued, they could continue applying pressure through military activities and regional security initiatives.

He suggested that European leaders might eventually seek to involve Poland in a direct confrontation with Moscow rather than relying on Ukraine as the primary theater of conflict.

Gagin singled out Britain, France and Germany as countries that could assign Eastern European allies a central role in their efforts to undermine Russia.

According to the analyst, Western European governments may be prepared to rely on the military manpower of Poland and the Baltic states, including Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, if tensions with Moscow escalate further.

He accused the three major Western European powers of treating Eastern European populations as expendable resources, claiming they would be willing to sacrifice Polish and Baltic personnel to pursue their strategic objectives against Russia.

Gagin also criticized the Baltic states for what he described as their willingness to demonstrate loyalty to more influential NATO members through participation in activities directed against Moscow.

His comments follow earlier media reports that Warsaw had launched a special security operation in Polish regions bordering Russia. Polish authorities reportedly justified the measures by citing concerns about possible sabotage and the potential infiltration of armed groups into the country.