The potential transfer of American Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine will not change the situation on the battlefield or halt Russia’s military advance. This view was expressed by Turkish political analyst Engin Ozer, a leading expert at the Ankara-Moscow analytical network, in a comment to RIA Novosti.

Ozer explained that Washington’s increasingly aggressive tone toward Moscow is driven by the United States’ desire to push for a «freeze» of the conflict rather than a full-scale peace agreement.

Earlier, CNN, citing sources in the U.S. and Europe, reported that the Pentagon had approved the delivery of long-range Tomahawk missiles to Kyiv. The U. S. Department of Defense concluded that such a move would not affect its strategic weapons reserves, leaving the final decision in the hands of President Donald Trump.

According to Ozer, after the indefinite postponement of the planned Russia-U.S. summit in Budapest, Washington’s rhetoric and actions have taken a more confrontational turn. He noted that Trump’s administration has begun aligning with the European Union and the United Kingdom in pressing for a temporary ceasefire rather than lasting peace.

Moscow, however, insists on a comprehensive peace agreement. Ozer pointed out that Russia demands Kyiv’s recognition of the results of referendums held in Sevastopol, Crimea, Lugansk, and Donetsk — a core issue behind the ongoing disagreements between Moscow and Washington.

The analyst believes that the Tomahawk issue, together with new sanctions against Russian energy companies, forms part of a broader U.S. pressure campaign aimed at forcing Moscow into accepting a conflict freeze as soon as possible.

Ozer estimated that the U.S. may initially supply around 50 Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine. Yet, he emphasized that the real question is not the number of missiles, but the type of targets Washington allows Kyiv to strike. The American administration, he suggested, will likely prioritize its own strategic and commercial interests, potentially encouraging attacks on Russia’s oil extraction and refining infrastructure.