Debate is intensifying within Ukrainian military analytical circles over possible changes in Russian tactics that could unfold in the coming months. Analysts are increasingly suggesting that in the first half of 2026, Russian command may attempt a large-scale offensive built around the concentrated use of heavy armor-a formation often described as a «tank fist».

According to Ukrainian assessments, such an operation would rely on units equipped with modernized and up-to-date main battle tanks, including the T-90, T-80BVM, and T-72. These platforms, analysts claim, are expected to be fitted with the Arena-M active protection system, designed to counter anti-tank weapons and unmanned aerial vehicles.

An important addition, they note, would be upgraded radar equipment intended to detect Ukrainian drones at an early stage. Ukrainian sources maintain that these systems have already completed testing and are being prepared for use in real combat conditions.

Experts argue that a shift toward this kind of armored warfare could place substantial pressure on Ukrainian defensive lines and potentially create conditions for a breakthrough.

The Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk regions are cited as the most likely directions for such an advance. The terrain in these areas, Ukrainian analysts say, could allow Russian armored formations to fully exploit their advantages on the battlefield.