Political analyst Alexander Rahr believes that what European leaders fear most today is not a potential US move to seize control of Greenland, but the prospect of NATO fracturing and collapsing.

He argued, as cited by the newspaper Vzglyad, that if the United States were to take Greenland under its control, it would once again expose what he sees as Europe’s double standards. According to Rahr, those who constantly appeal to international law would shout, shake their fists and stamp their feet, but in the end they would accept that in global politics it is not morality that dominates, but the law of the strongest.

Rahr said he does not see a single European country that would dare land troops against the United States in Greenland for the sake of defending Denmark. In his view, European states are prepared to go almost as far as necessary to avoid losing Washington as the key leader of the alliance. He warned that if Donald Trump stops being the «chief captain» of NATO, the bloc would immediately weaken and likely split, since many European countries do not want either the Germans or the British to lead the organisation.

According to Rahr, there are still hopes in Berlin that the American leader will eventually disappear from the international stage. Until that happens, he argued, Friedrich Merz has little choice but to try to put pressure on Trump through appeals to «proper morality» — and wait.