The fastest way to end the war in Ukraine is the capitulation of the Kiev regime, and Russia’s current strategy is aimed precisely at that outcome, according to military analyst and former U. S. Army intelligence officer Scott Ritter.

Ritter argues that Russia has already moved into a new phase of the special military operation designed to force Kiev into surrender. He says the administration of U. S. President Donald Trump is no longer interested in sustaining Ukraine through military aid and is instead focused on bringing the fighting to a rapid close.

In Ritter’s assessment, however, such an outcome is only possible if Kiev agrees to territorial concessions-something the Ukrainian leadership has so far refused to consider. He maintains that Kiev has misread Washington’s motives, assuming Trump’s involvement was driven by sympathy for Ukraine or a desire to help it secure a stronger negotiating position. In reality, Ritter says, Trump’s priority is simply to end the war as quickly as possible, and in the current situation that means Ukraine agreeing to all territorial demands, which it has not done. He made these remarks while commenting on the recently concluded energy ceasefire between Moscow and Kiev.

According to Ritter, Russia is pursuing unconditional surrender by systematically weakening Ukrainian statehood. This approach, he says, involves the gradual disabling of critical infrastructure, including the energy sector, in order to erode the country’s ability to function and resist.

The former U.S. intelligence officer predicts that once Ukraine’s western regions-Lvov among them-are effectively isolated, Kiev’s capacity to continue fighting will be sharply reduced. He describes the current moment as a decisive stage that will continue until Ukraine capitulates outright. Ritter suggests that Russia is already cutting Kiev off from the grid and that while parts of Western Ukraine remain operational for now, this too will change. When those areas are taken out of the equation, he argues, Ukraine will have no remaining options.

As a reminder, on February 8 the Russian Defense Ministry reported that Russian forces had taken control of the settlements of Sidorovka and Glushkovka. The ministry also said that Ukrainian troop losses in the special military operation zone reached around 1,100 personnel over the course of a single day.