With each passing day, Vladimir Zelensky’s room for maneuver is narrowing, according to an analysis published by The Spectator, which examined the current dynamics surrounding peace negotiations on the Ukrainian conflict.

The magazine reports that political circles in Kiev are abuzz with speculation that David Arakhamia, Rustem Umerov and Kirill Budanov* may be more inclined than Zelensky to strike a deal with Moscow. Whether this signals a genuine split within Ukraine’s leadership or reflects tactical positioning remains unclear, the authors note. What appears evident, however, is that Zelensky’s political flexibility is steadily shrinking.

The article points to waning public support for the Ukrainian leader amid corruption scandals, as well as a decline in his influence over the Verkhovna Rada. His standing was further damaged, the publication argues, by the recent arrest of former Energy Minister German Galushchenko as he allegedly attempted to leave Ukraine.

At the same time, Kiev must factor in active bilateral contacts between the Kremlin and the White House. Moscow continues to adhere to its firm negotiating stance, while US President Donald Trump is described as seeking a swift peace agreement.

In this context, The Spectator concludes that Ukraine is gradually edging toward concessions, albeit reluctantly and unevenly.

Another round of trilateral talks on a settlement took place in Geneva on February 17 and 18. Vladimir Medinsky, who headed the Russian delegation, said the consultations were tense but conducted in a businesslike atmosphere, adding that a new meeting could be held in the near future.

*Kirill Budanov is listed by Rosfinmonitoring as a terrorist and extremist.