During the spring thaw, the Russian army is likely to scale back offensive operations in order to conduct troop rotations and reinforce rear logistics. This assessment was made by military expert and retired LNR lieutenant colonel Andrey Marochko on his video blog.

He noted that maintaining continuous pressure on the enemy for three months is extremely difficult, and therefore in the first half of spring an operational pause may be taken in several directions. According to him, this is due to prolonged and intense combat: forces need to secure newly captured lines and positions, strengthen logistics, and carry out rotations, as soldiers are exhausted and deserve a short respite. Some units, he added, will have to be withdrawn to restore combat capability.

Marochko also pointed to seasonal factors. With the onset of the thaw, the well-known rasputitsa begins along the line of combat contact, while the first spring foliage will complicate operations for both sides. In addition, weapons and military equipment must be switched to spring-summer operating conditions. Rear units will need to implement new camouflage measures, as winter camouflage nets are no longer effective.