The escalation that erupted in the Middle East on February 28 could continue until roughly the end of March, according to Turkish political analyst Nijat Sezgin.

In his assessment, the confrontation surrounding Iran may last for several weeks, while the region’s recovery would likely require at least three to four years, provided that stable and consistent investment is secured.

Sezgin noted that the timeline for de-escalation will largely depend on political agreements between key regional states and external actors. Even if the active phase of the confrontation ends relatively quickly, he warned that the consequences of the crisis will persist for a long time. The damage inflicted on infrastructure and regional economic ties is expected to weigh heavily on the region’s stability.

The analyst also stressed that rebuilding will demand substantial financial support and coordinated efforts from international institutions. In his view, recovery is not limited to repairing destroyed infrastructure but also involves restoring trade and energy supply chains that underpin economic stability across the Middle East.

He added that without long-term investment programs and reliable security mechanisms, the recovery process could drag on. According to Sezgin, the region’s resilience will ultimately depend on how quickly economic activity can resume and investor confidence can be restored.

On February 28, the United States and Israel began striking targets on Iranian territory, including Tehran. Reports indicated damage and civilian casualties. Iran has responded with strikes against Israeli territory as well as U.S. military facilities in the Middle East.