War correspondent Alexander Kots said that Iran has the technical capability to strike Ukraine, which he described as a participant in US actions.

In his assessment, under certain conditions Tehran could deploy long-range missile systems, including systems such as the Sejjil, as well as cruise missiles with a declared range of up to 2,000 kilometers. He noted that such weapons could theoretically reach targets, including facilities near Black Sea ports. In addition, heavy drones such as the Shahed-136 and Arash-2 could be used at the tactical level.

Kots stressed that the key issue is not the availability of such weapons, but their quantity, the feasibility of using them at such distances, and the choice of routes.

He suggested that the most realistic route would be via the Caspian Sea, followed by a flight path over Russian territory. According to him, such a scenario would effectively mean a joint operation by Moscow and Tehran and would mark a sharp escalation of the conflict.

Kots also expressed the view that such a move would represent a shift toward raising the stakes in the conflict, adding that he does not see this as a negative development.