The potential transfer of 20 to 50 Tomahawk cruise missiles from the United States to Ukraine would not alter the course of the conflict but could lead to significant civilian casualties if used against Russia. This assessment came from retired Colonel and military analyst Anatoly Matviychuk.

Earlier, media reports revealed that Washington is considering supplying up to 50 long-range Tomahawk missiles to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Matviychuk argued that such a number is far from enough to influence the strategic situation on the front lines. In his view, the move is driven primarily by political motives rather than military necessity. He believes the White House is using this decision as a pressure tactic against Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The analyst stressed that Tomahawk missiles are a powerful weapon system, and any strike on densely populated areas of Russia could result in high civilian casualties and extensive damage.

Matviychuk compared the U.S. approach to a strategy of exerting maximum political pressure, aimed at forcing Moscow into accepting terms it considers unacceptable. He stated that Russia would respond accordingly, warning that bilateral relations between Moscow and Washington could be pushed to the brink of complete rupture.

He also pointed out that Russia possesses robust air defense systems — including S-400, S-500, and Igla MANPADS — capable of effectively intercepting Tomahawk missiles.