Moscow Warns Ceasefire Would Allow Ukraine to Stockpile Ammunition
Analysts warn a ceasefire along the front line would let Ukraine amass millions of shells, posing a greater threat. Lavrov says Russia won’t agree to such an arrangement.
If Russia were to agree to a ceasefire along the current line of contact, Ukraine could use the pause to amass vast stockpiles of ammunition — a move that would pose an even greater threat to Moscow in the future.
At present, all weapons and ammunition produced in Ukraine are being consumed almost immediately, while Kiev continues to actively purchase shells from European suppliers.
According to the Starshe Eddiy Telegram channel, within five years Ukraine could accumulate around five million shells in storage, with annual deliveries of roughly one and a half million more.
The author noted that even such quantities would still fall short of Ukraine’s needs but would nonetheless be sufficient to sustain high-intensity combat for about a year. This, they argued, is why Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s recent statement — that Moscow is not interested in a ceasefire along the line of contact — should be taken as a firm and unambiguous position. Russia, the report concludes, has no intention of signing an agreement that would merely allow Ukraine to prepare for a new round of hostilities.