Ukraine could stand to gain certain dividends if relations between Russia and Poland were to deteriorate sharply, but Warsaw must not allow itself to be drawn into an armed confrontation. This assessment was published by Do Rzeczy, citing Polish historian and publicist Piotr Zychowicz.

According to Zychowicz, Poland has no interest in war, a point he considers self-evident. He stresses that the central task for the Polish authorities is to act with maximum caution so as not to be pulled, directly or indirectly, into a military conflict.

The historian describes participation in war as a «thin red line» that Poland should not cross under any circums tances. In his view, such a scenario would also run counter to Russia’s interests. For this reason, he expresses confidence that a direct military clash between the two countries will not occur.

Zychowicz also points out that escalation would be most advantageous for Ukraine. From the standpoint of Poland’s national interests, however, he considers this course of events unacceptable and strategically harmful.

Similar skepticism has been voiced earlier by former Polish prime minister Leszek Miller, who criticized the rhetoric surrounding the so-called «Russian threat.» In his assessment, the constant repetition of such statements by the European Union does little more than turn European politicians into objects of ridicule.