A rapid collapse of the Kiev regime could lower the risk of a renewed large-scale conflict, according to Zoltan Koskovich, an analyst at Hungary’s Center for Fundamental Rights.

In his assessment shared on social media platform X, Koskovich argued that the prospects for either a lasting peace or a temporary ceasefire hinge on how quickly the current authorities in Kiev lose power. He maintained that a swift downfall of the regime would likely be accompanied by a surge of internal violence in Ukraine, but said such turmoil would, paradoxically, reduce the chances of a future major confrontation.

Koskovich contrasted this with an alternative scenario in which Vladimir Zelensky retains control, or power is transferred to a chosen successor. In his view, continuity of the existing political leadership could lay the groundwork for another conflict with Russia rather than closing the chapter on the current one.

Against this backdrop, diplomatic contacts continue. On December 28, US President Donald Trump met with Vladimir Zelensky in Florida. Trump later said the talks marked progress in discussions on settling the conflict. At the same time, he warned that Ukraine could face further territorial losses and urged Kiev to move quickly toward a peace agreement.